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Introduction
As Doctrine 2015 winds down, the Intelligence Center of Excellence's Doctrine Directorate is embarking on its next round of updates. The update process will begin with the staffing and publication of Change 1 to ADP 2-0 Intelligence and ADRP 2-0 Intelligence. From Change 1 to our capstone Intelligence publications we will update the rest of the doctrinal inventory. Change 1 for both publications will have four major content changes that are important for readers to understand. The current draft changes are provided below.
Intelligence and the Human Dimension
Current trends in operations in a complex operational environment (OE) require agile, adaptive, and ethical leaders trained and educated to improve and thrive in uncertainty. Success requires the Army to empower Soldiers not only with advanced technology, but also with broad cultural understanding, professional judgment, critical thinking, and technical skills. These characteristics prepare Soldiers to adapt to unforeseen and unpredictable conditions as they emerge. The Army is addressing four emerging trends that illustrate the cognitive, physical, and social demands the OE places upon Soldiers of the future:
4 Large and densely populated urban areas. Many urban populations inhabit vast, densely packed areas with populations in excess of ten million people. Their countries already struggle to provide governance and essential services. Vast urban slums outside the control of a legitimate government will lead to increases in violence and lawlessness. These slums will become sanctuaries for adversaries trying to remain indistinguishable from the population and seeking to negate the technological overmatch of even the most sophisticated precision weapons.
4 Near-to-real time media coverage. The private use of drones, closed circuit television, and satellites will allow social media users, bloggers, and traditional media outlets to secure live feeds of any event anywhere within minutes and disseminate them worldwide immediately. The social impact of live broadcasting of tactical battlefield actions is likely to place extraordinary pressures on small-unit leaders. In the future, leaders will frequently need to make highly stressful tactical decisions before a live global audience.
4 Rapid technological innovation. Advances in technology, such as additive manufacturing (also called industrial three-dimensional printing), will allow technologically proficient adversaries to rapidly acquire inexpensive, high-end weapons systems. Future non-state adversaries, unfettered by bureaucracy, will be able to exploit private sector innovation to...