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Nigel Tupper believes that just about anything can be quantified. Five years ago, the maths whiz quantified the probability of getting crushed to death by the jaws of a deadly hippopotamus as he rafted down the hippo-infested and white-tipped waters of Zimbabwe's Zambezi River for four days straight. He reckons the odds were significantly increased after factoring in the lions roaming through his camp at night.
But most days, his probability modelling has nothing to do with large game animals and life expectancy. Instead, Tupper, who has made a name for himself as a chief global quantitative strategist at Merrill Lynch, sticks to modelling different scenarios and predictions for the Asian equity markets.
Tupper began his career working as a fixed-income manager on the buy side. After moving...